As Sheil detailed earlier, the Eagles have an 8.6 percent chance to grab the No. 1 overall pick in April’s draft, per Football Outsiders, and nearly a 50 percent chance to be in the top 5.
If the season ended today, the Eagles would have the fourth pick. What exactly would that get them? We looked at all the NFL drafts since 2000 to see if they hold any answers. Here is a look at what teams have done with that fourth pick over the last 13 seasons:
2012: OT Matt Kalil, Vikings
2011: WR A.J. Green, Bengals
2010: OT Trent Williams, Redskins
2009: LB Aaron Curry, Seahawks
2008: RB Darren McFadden, Raiders
2007: DE Gaines Adams, Bucs
2006: OT D’Brickashaw Ferguson, Jets
2005: RB Cedric Benson, Bears
2004: QB Phillip Rivers, Giants (traded to Chargers)
2003: DT Dewayne Robertson, Jets
2002: OT Mike Williams, Bills
2001: DE Justin Smith, Bengals
2000: WR Peter Warrick, Bengals
As you can see, there have been some nice hits (Rivers, Green), some misses (Curry) and a few in-between (McFadden, Benson).
Offensive tackle has been a fairly popular pick here and has generally worked out well for the team in question, save the Bills in ’02 with Williams. But overall, a decent success rate.
Smith, selected by the Bengals in ’01, is still going strong with the Niners in his 12th NFL season.
The 2013 draft is not considered to be a particularly star-studded one, which of course also needs to be factored in.
Next up, a look at who the draftniks see going fourth overall in the upcoming draft:
CBS: DE/OLB Demontre Moore, Texas A&M
Walter Football: OT Luke Joeckel, Texas A&M
Scouts, Inc.: G Chance Warmack, Alabama
Mel Kiper: Demontre Moore
Todd McShay: Chance Warmack
MyNFLDraft: DT Star Lotulelei, Utah
Chris Steuber: WR Keenan Allen, Cal
It is early, but just a sample of names to keep in mind.
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