Prediction: State Senate to Stay in GOP Hands

Democrats' hopes to capture the chamber are fading.

Republican Gov. Tom Corbett appears headed to a defeat, but Democratic challenger Tom Wolf will probably face a GOP-led House and Senate if he takes office in Harrsburg next year, according to a new prediction.

PoliticsPA reports on the prognostication:

Luckily, Louis Jacobson of Governing Magazine just released his ratings for each statehouse.

Jacobson feels Democratic hopes are a bit too high. He describes the PA State Senate as “Projected Likely R”.

“Republican Tom Corbett is the most vulnerable incumbent governor in the country, but the GOP’s edge in the legislature seems reasonably solid,” Jacobson writes. “In the Senate, the Democrats would only need to flip three seats* to take control of a chamber the GOP has long held, but the lineup of seats being contested is favorable to the Republicans.”

As John Micek notes at PennLive, all of this is “news that will probably shock no one.” But it once again raises the question: If Tom Wolf wins, how’s he going to govern with a GOP-held legislature?