NFL Picks Against The Spread 2016: Week 6 Games

Here are some suggestions when trying to beat the NFL odds.

Photo by: USA Today Sports.

Photo by: USA Today Sports.

Before Week 6 of the 2016 NFL season schedule kicks off, let’s have some fun by taking a look at the spreads for this week’s round of games. (Click here for our NFL Week 6 expert predictions.)

Here are suggestions when trying to beat the odds. You can find all of today’s NFL betting lines and more at Bovada. My record so far this season is 36-32-3 after going 7-5-1 last week. Let’s get to the picks.


Cincinnati Bengals at New England Patriots (-9.5): The Bengals have two wins this season. The first was a one-point win over the Jets. The second was a 15-point win over the Dolphins. Cincy’s dominance over the AFC East won’t continue this week. They’re just not looking like a good team and the Patriots will be fired up for Tom Brady’s first game back at home since the suspension. PICK: Patriots -9.5

Pittsburgh Steelers (-7.5) at Miami Dolphins: The Dolphins have one win this season. It came against the Browns. In overtime. Cleveland kicker Cody Parkey shanked a few field goals in that game. In other words, Miami isn’t very good. Their defense should struggle against a red hot Steelers offense. Pittsburgh has been playing very good football ever since getting dominated by the Eagles in Week 3. PICK: Steelers -7.5

Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans (-7): This Titans team isn’t good, but they’re not as awful as the Browns. It appears Cody Kessler will be starting at quarterback for Cleveland. He might not be 100% after suffering an injury last week. That probably doesn’t bode well for the league’s worst team. PICK: Titans -7

Los Angeles Rams at Detroit Lions (-3): I totally nailed my Rams prediction from last week. I don’t have the same confidence that the Rams will lose this week. Their defense might be able to hold the Lions’ offense in check. Their lackluster offense, meanwhile, could find just enough success against Detroit’s last-ranked defense. I don’t know if the Rams win outright, but I expect this game to be close. So I’ll suggest taking the points. PICK: Rams +3

Jacksonville Jaguars at Chicago Bears (-1.5): Chicago is really banged up heading into this game. 13 players are listed as questionable on the Bears’ final injury report. Three players have been ruled doubtful while one player is officially out. The Jaguars, meanwhile, are coming off their bye. Jacksonville’s receiving corps should be able to have success against Chicago’s secondary. PICK: Jaguars +1.5

San Francisco 49ers at Buffalo Bills (-9): You already know LeSean McCoy is looking to have a big day against Chip Kelly’s team. The Bills have looked good in recent weeks and they’re playing at home so the expectation is their success will continue. Changing quarterbacks from Blaine Gabbert to Colin Kaepernick probably can’t hurt but it might not make much of a difference for a struggling 49ers team. PICK: Bills -9

Carolina Panthers (-2.5) at New Orleans Saints: Cam Newton is set to start on Sunday. His return might not be enough for the Panthers to get a win, however. The Saints are coming off their bye and the New Orleans offense should find success against an injured Panthers defense. Carolina has especially been hit hard by injuries at the cornerback position. Look for Drew Brees to exploit that weakness. PICK: Saints +2.5

Baltimore Ravens at New York Giants (-3): The Ravens are 3-2 and all of their games have been decided by one possession this season. Their defense has played well but their offense has struggled. The Giants, meanwhile, are on a three-game losing streak since starting out the season 0-2. New York has the makings of a below average team. The feeling here is this game will be close, so taking the points is the best option. PICK: Ravens +3

Philadelphia Eagles (-3) at Washington Redskins: Due to the Jordan Reed injury, Washington will likely be without one of their best players against the Eagles. Philadelphia is going to be hungry for a win in their first division game of the season. The Eagles are a one-point loss away from being a perfect 4-0. Carson Wentz’s early rookie success should continue against a Washington defense that’s not very threatening. PICK: Eagles -3

Kansas City Chiefs (-1) at Oakland Raiders: Andy Reid is really good after the bye: 15-2. That’s probably why the 2-2 Chiefs are one-point road favorites against a 4-1 Raiders squad. It could be a dangerous bet to go against Reid in this situation, but I’ll pull the trigger on Oakland. Their defense has struggled but they have enough offensive firepower to make up for it. PICK: Raiders +1

Atlanta Falcons at Seattle Seahawks (-6): It’ll be interesting to see how the Falcons’ offense fares against Seattle’s tough defense. Atlanta did a nice job of gutting out a win in Denver last week. Beating the Seahawks would be very impressive. Pete Carroll’s team is tough to play at CenturyLink Field, but I don’t see good reason to bet against this hot Falcons team right now. PICK: Falcons +6

Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers (-4): The Packers have allowed the fewest opponent yards per rush attempt in the NFL. Their run defense should disrupt the Cowboys’ offensive flow. Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott have played well so far but that might not be the case this week in Lambeau. The Packers take this game comfortably. PICK: Packers -4

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (-3): It’s a battle of two bad AFC South teams. The Colts have the second to worst defense in the NFL, per Football Outsiders. The Texans, meanwhile, have the worst-ranked offense. This game isn’t a fun one to pick. I’d recommend avoiding it. For the sake of this activity, though, I’ll go with the Colts because Brock Osweiler hasn’t been impressive and at least the Colts have Andrew Luck. PICK: Colts +3

New York Jets at Arizona Cardinals (-7): The 2-3 Cardinals are probably better than they appear and the 1-4 Jets might be even worse than they appear. Ryan Fitzpatrick didn’t even throw an interception last week but he still have nine picks in his last three games. Arizona enters this game with a little extra rest from having play on Thursday Night Football in Week 5. Bruce Arians’ squad should be able to get the job done. PICK: Cardinals -7