Poll: Plurality of Pennsylvanians Want Philly to Secede

PA map with Philly five-county area detached

Original map via Wikimedia Commons, used under a Creative Commons license

Pennsylvanians want Philadelphia to leave the state.

Not all of them, of course. But according to a new poll from conservative firm Harper Polling, among those who could decide, a plurality of Pennsylvanians selected the five-county Philadelphia region as the one they’d like to leave the commonwealth. A Philexit!

Harper asked 500 adults in the state earlier this month the following question: “As you may have heard, the United Kingdom recently voted to leave the European Union, an event that has been referred to in the media as Brexit, or the British Exit. Which region of Pennsylvania would you most like to see leave the Commonwealth in its own Brexit?”

Fifty-two percent weren’t sure. But 29 percent of Pennsylvanians say Philadelphia and Southeastern Pennsylvania should leave. No other region was close. Pittsburgh and the Southwest got 7 percent. Scranton/Lehigh Valley, South Central PA and the Northern PA all got four percent. Aw, well at least everyone was nice to York. Read more »

Monmouth Poll: Clinton Leads Trump by 7 Points Nationally

Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump

Trump photo by Michael Vadon, used under a Creative Commons license

A new poll from Monmouth University has Hillary Clinton out in front in the presidential race.

Clinton leads Donald Trump nationally, 47 percent to 40 percent, according to the poll. When Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and Green candidate Jill Stein are included, Clinton’s lead is 42 percent to 36 percent.

The national preference poll with the other candidates could be a little misleading, as neither party may be on the ballot in all 50 states. The Libertarian Party, however, currently only has ballot access in 33 states, though it says it is working on all 50 states plus DC. The Green Party believes it can get on the ballot in 47 states.

Still, Clinton leads by a wide total in both polls. Read more »

Poll: Phillie Phanatic More Qualified to Be President Than Donald Trump

The Phillie Phanatic and Donald Trump - split photo

Phanatic photo by Googie Man, Trump photo by Gage Skidmore; both used under a Creative Commons license

Don’t want to vote for presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump this November, but not quite ready to push the button for Hillary Clinton? You could always vote for the Phillie Phanatic.

Public Policy Polling, a liberal-leaning polling firm that was judged the most accurate in 2012, recently polled Pennsylvania voters. And PPP found that citizens of the Keystone State find the Phillie Phanatic to be more qualified to be president than Donald Trump.

It wasn’t all that close, either: Forty-six percent of Pennsylvania voters surveyed said the Phillie Phanatic was more qualified to be president than Trump, with 40 percent saying they felt Trump was more qualified than the giant, green fuzzy mascot who doesn’t talk. Fourteen percent said they weren’t sure. Weren’t sure. Read more »

New Poll: Toomey-McGinty Race Is Essentially Tied

Katie McGinty, Pat Toomey

Katie McGinty photo by Donald Derosa, used under a Creative Commons license

A new poll from Quinnipiac University says that the Senate race in Pennsylvania is very much like the presidential one here: A dead heat.

Sen. Pat Toomey gets 45 percent of the vote in the new poll, while Katie McGinty gets 44 percent. Much like the poll Quinnipiac took of Trump/Clinton, men back the Republican candidate (53–36 percent), while women say they’re going to vote for McGinty (51-38). The pollsters interviewed 1,077 Pennsylvania voters and say the poll has a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. Read more »

Poll: Clinton vs. Trump Is a Dead Heat in Pennsylvania

Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump

Trump photo by Michael Vadon, used under a Creative Commons license

A new poll released by Quinnipiac University shows Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton in a dead heat in Pennsylvania.

Clinton leads the poll of 1,077 self-identified registered voters, 43 percent to 42 percent, with 2 percent saying someone else, 7 percent saying they wouldn’t vote and 5 percent undecided. The poll has a margin of sampling error of +/- 3 percentage points.

All of Trump’s rivals for the Republican nomination have dropped out of the race; he is the presumptive Republican nominee. Bernie Sanders, who held a rally in Atlantic City yesterday, has vowed to stay in until the end of the Democratic presidential primaries. But Clinton is way out in front and will most likely win her party’s nomination. Clinton vs. Trump is the most likely general election matchup. Read more »

New Poll: Chris Christie More Unpopular Than Ever in N.J.

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, left, gives a thumbs up to the crowd as he is introduced by New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, right, at a rally at Lenoir-Rhyne University in Hickory, N.C., Monday, March 14, 2016.

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, left, gives a thumbs up to the crowd as he is introduced by New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, right, at a rally at Lenoir-Rhyne University in Hickory, N.C., Monday, March 14, 2016.

Donald Trump may be on the verge of capturing the Republican nomination for president. But his chief campaign surrogate continues to drop in popularity in his home state.

Per a new Rutgers-Eagleton poll, the governor’s approval rating has hit a new low. Only 26 percent of New Jersey voters have a favorable opinion of Chris Christie, down three points from February and a huge drop from the soaring popularity Christie enjoyed after Hurricane Sandy.

“Among the New Jersey politicians we poll, Governor Christie continues to generate the most negativity among voters, even more so than the state’s currently indicted senator [Robert Menendez,” Ashley Koning, assistant director of the Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling (ECPIP) at Rutgers University, said in a release. “Not even Christie’s backing of Donald Trump has helped him with New Jersey Republicans, who give Trump higher ratings than Christie and are now more likely than ever to vote for Trump come June.” Read more »

Harper Poll: McGinty Moves to First Place, Shapiro Has Commanding Lead

senate-primary-poll

The final poll of the Pennsylvania primary, conducted by conservative firm Harper Polling, found that Katie McGinty has moved into first place just one day before the Democratic Senate primary. Previous polls showed Joe Sestak leading the race, or Sestak and McGinty tied. In the poll, 39 percent of voters said they would vote for Katie McGinty — compared to just 33 percent for Joe Sestak, 15 percent for John Fetterman and 3 percent for Joseph Vodvarka. Eleven percent are undecided.

In the previous Harper Poll in early April, Sestak had 41 percent, McGinty had 31 percent and Fetterman had 9. (Vodvarka, who had been kicked off the ballot but was reinstated last week, was not polled that time.) Read more »

Please, Don’t Let a Pittsburgh Place Win This Cheesesteak Poll

Photo via Flickr

Photo via Flickr

Let’s be fair: There is no reason a cheesesteak made in Pittsburgh can’t be good. The Groove Cheesesteak Company — which apparently used to be called Southside Steaks, and still has that URL for its website — may make a good cheesesteak.

In fact, it probably does! (“Southside Steaks” sounds like a more authentic name for a steak shop, though.) There’s no reason that a steak shop has to be in the city of Philadelphia to make a good cheesesteak. Anthony Bourdain himself said Donkey’s in Camden has the best. But there is no way we can let a Pittsburgh place win USA Today’s Best Cheesesteak in Pennsylvania contest.

Working with Sandwich America, USA Today’s “10 best” site has selected 20 places in Pennsylvania that are contenders for the best cheesesteak in the state. Eleven of them are in Philadelphia, and three more are in the suburbs. One, Groove, is in Pittsburgh. Read more »

Quinnipiac Poll: John Kasich the Only Republican Who Could Win Pennsylvania

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton (iStockphoto.com). John Kasich (center, via Facebook)

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton (iStockphoto.com). John Kasich (center, via Facebook)

A new poll from Quinnipiac University finds Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump leading their respective Pennsylvania primaries — but it’s John Kasich who beats all comers in a hypothetical general election in the state.

The poll, released today, surveys likely voters in the Pennsylvania Democratic and Republican primaries. Pennsylvanians vote on April 26th.

The GOP primary poll finds Trump with 39 percent of the vote, Ted Cruz with 30 and John Kasich with 24. That leaves 7 percent undecided, with 27 percent saying they might change their vote before election day. On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders, 50-44. Six percent are undecided and 22 percent say they might change their minds before the election. Read more »

Trump, Clinton Lead in New Pennsylvania Poll — But Trump’s Rivals Are Gaining Ground

Franklin and Marshall poll - Trump and Clinton

The results from the latest Franklin & Marshall poll of registered voters.

A new poll from Franklin & Marshall has Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump out in front in Pennsylvania — but Trump’s rivals are gaining ground.

Clinton has led throughout F&M’s polling; she’s ahead of Bernie Sanders among registered Democrats in the state by a 53 percent to 28 percent margin. In October, that margin was 52-18. Though Bernie has gained, he’s picked up supporters of other candidates and undecideds. Clinton’s lead seems secure; FiveThirtyEight gives her a 97 percent chance of winning the state’s primary.

Things are more interesting on the Republican side.  Trump leads the field with 33 percent of the vote. But John Kasich is not far behind with 30 percent, while Ted Cruz has 20 percent. Seventeen percent of voters still don’t know.

This is quite the change from October, when Trump had 23 percent but Kasich had 6 percent and Cruz just 4. The race is fluid; FiveThirtyEight gives Trump a 48 percent chance of victory in the state. Read more »

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