Week 16 Eagles Viewing Guide

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We went over playoff scenarios earlier in the week, but since several of the early games could impact Sunday night’s Eagles-Bears matchup, here is your one-stop shop for what to be looking for/rooting for during the day.

How can the Eagles clinch the NFC East Sunday?


You should know this one by now, but it's pretty simple: If the Cowboys lose to the Redskins and the Eagles beat the Bears, the Eagles are NFC East champs.

How can the Eagles be eliminated Sunday?

They can't be. Any scenario other than the one described in the previous question results in a Week 17 showdown between the Eagles and Cowboys for the division.

What happens if the Eagles and Cowboys tie in Week 17?

I know it sounds crazy, but I've received this question multiple times. If the two teams finish with identical records and tie in Week 17, the Cowboys win the division. The tiebreak would be head-to-head record, and Dallas won the first meeting.

If the Eagles win the division, will they definitely be the No. 3 seed?

No. There are multiple scenarios where the Eagles could be the No. 4 seed. According to Football Outsiders, the Eagles have a 49.8 percent chance of getting the No. 3 seed and a 20.8 percent chance of getting the No. 4 seed.

Both the three and four seeds host home playoff games in the first round. The three seed plays the sixth seed, while the fourth seed plays the five seed.

The bigger factor at play is what happens in the second round. The lower-seeded winner will almost definitely be going to Seattle, while the other first-round winner will go to New Orleans/Carolina.

The Eagles cannot get any other seeds except the three or four. They cannot earn a first-round bye or a wild-card berth under any scenario.

How can the Bears clinch Sunday?

If the Packers lose to the Steelers and the Lions lose to the Giants, Chicago can clinch the NFC North with a victory over the Eagles. Even if the Bears lose in this scenario, they can still win the division with a Week 17 win over the Packers. They cannot be eliminated from playoff contention under any scenario Sunday.

What is the scenario whereby Sunday's game would be meaningless for the Bears?

If the Lions lose to the Giants and the Packers beat the Steelers, the matchup with the Eagles will be meaningless for the Bears (aside from potential seeding). The NFC North would be decided in Week 17 when Chicago takes on Green Bay.

If the Lions and Packers win their early games, the Bears need to beat the Eagles to control their own playoff chances in Week 17. Under this scenario, if they lose Sunday night, the Bears would need to beat the Packers in Week 17 and get a Lions loss to Minnesota to take the NFC North. Under this scenario, if they win Sunday night, they just need a Week 17 win to take the division.

What's the best-case scenario for the Eagles?

The Cowboys lose to the Redskins. The Lions lose to the Giants. And the Packers beat the Steelers.

Under this scenario, the Eagles would be in position to clinch the division with a victory. And they would be facing a Bears squad with nothing at stake except for seeding.

***

Here are game-times for the matchups mentioned above:

Cowboys at Redskins, 1 p.m.
Giants at Lions, 4:05 p.m.
Steelers at Packers, 4:25 p.m.
Bears at Eagles, 8:30 p.m.

***

If you have any other questions, leave them in the comments, and I'll try to respond before games kick off Sunday afternoon.

Follow Sheil Kapadia on Twitter and e-mail him at skapadia@phillymag.com.
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  • Andy124

    What happens if the Eagles and Cowboys tie in Week 17?

    I know it sounds crazy, but I’ve received this question multiple times. If the two teams finish with identical records and tie in Week 17, the Cowboys win the division. The tiebreak would be head-to-head record, and Dallas won the first meeting.

    Of course, if Dallas and Philly both win OR both tie OR both lose in Week 16, then a tie in week 17 wins the division for the Eagles.

    • Joe

      I don’t think that is correct.

      • Andy124

        I don’t think that is correct.
        I do, but it wouldn’t be the first time I was wrong. Care to elaborate?

        • G_WallyHunter

          I think you’re right ya,
          Eaglesss would be 9-6-1(W) or 8-7-1(L) or 8-6-2, While the
          Cowgirls would be 8-7-1(W) or 7-8-1(L) or 7-7-2
          (W) or (L) is in week 16, then assuming week 17 is, in fact, a tie.

          I think that’s correct, Eagles take division. The only way Dallas takes division on a tie in week 17 is if they beat Wash while Eags lose to Chicago. This may be incorrect but it looks to me that’s how it would go.
          Please, feel free to correct me if I’m wrong.

        • GW.Fisher

          #5. Can’t tie. Humor…

    • GEAGLE

      Can’t wait to watch Cousins torch the cowhoes

      • G_WallyHunter

        Imagine how much better our fantasy teams will play if Dallas loses, can’t wait. Shady and Djax will be going OFF
        Please Cousins, please shred em

        • GEAGLE

          It’s coming…tic toc

    • Kevin

      #5 Just text me and said this conversation doesn’t matter because you can’t tie. #5 will always love you

  • GEAGLE

    Cliff put spike TV on…Glory kickboxing is on live, Daniel Ghitta is fighting tonight…

    Eagles win 31-24

    • Andy124

      Huge gloves. Would love it if they used mma sized gloves, but ones that kept the fist in a fist to stop the eye pokes that we see so often in mma.

      • GEAGLE

        Gokhan Saki or Ghita might murder someone with 4 ounce gloves On r:

    • cliff henny

      was watching sixers tank. ET taketh and giveth away in the tank. runner in OT was ok, cant have these young guys lose every game. then when we really needed a focused tank effort, he cant throw it in the ocean. think his trade value is almost nothing, he cant play defense at all. cant hit 3′s either. have no idea what team would want him. volume shooter, needs ball, cant convert inside and gets lost in rotation over and over. he might be a 1-man tank effort for sixers. even the nights he gets his points, still has the other issues. grown to really dislike him. hope young and hawes get moved to contenders, they are handling this season well.
      .
      MCW can ball. Embiid might be jumping past Gordan and pushing Smart and Randle. i am little nervou about Randle. 1, he is physically more pwerfull in college and that wont be case in nba and 2, he plays below rim. yea, z-bo gets away with it, but not many do. Gordon/noel/wiggins or parker/ mcw and get a shooter in 20′s w/ TY or SH trade for 1st, w/ wroten and anderson would be a fun team, and play serious defense.

      • GEAGLE

        MCW is just a BALLER…gets 20 and 12 like it’s easy..

        We shoulda traded ET at the beginning of the year. only way we can get something for him now would be to take back a horrible contract like Gerald Wallace…..or hoping Chicago bites…they are a veteran team, ready to win, they need a rental who can score with the ball in his Hands…….

        Embiid sins the truth, glad people are starting to come around on hm. If we are being honest he is a better prospect than Nerlens. I see Embiid as this freak who’s offensive game will improv quickly by leaps and bounds. defensively he gives you everything Nerlens does with an added 40lbs…..I would love to pair Nerlens and Embiid….my dream scenario would probably be to see Embiid fall to like 7(doubt it) and us snag him with the pelicans pick…

        just imagine MCW orchestrating a Front court of Jabari!Nerlens!Embidd? YIKES!!

        Other then AQUIRING extra picks, for me the most important thing of this season will be for Brett brown to get Moultrie in super shape like he did with ET, Saving Arnette from going the Speights route… Moultrie is a serious talent, really hoping Bret can get it out of him???Arnette has a good offensive game that can be paired with Nerlens, and Arnette will get plenty of time and touches the second half of the he year…IF Brett can get the most out of him. And Arnette can open some eyes the second half of the year, he is the one piece we have with the “potential” of being a Chip we can use to move up to #7 from #10…..best case, Arnette becomes a player for us,helps our future or is used to trade up on draft day….for that to happen, Brett has a ton of work to do. Arnette will be back next month, let’s hope no injury set backs

        • cliff henny

          see what Noel comes back looking like. heard he has put himself together. also, NN might get more of a face up, dare say KG 15 footer type shot. rim protecting, yeah, embiid will be badass. noel also has leadership qualities. saw them at kent, he might have some of those intangibles (i love intangibles).
          .
          mcw might have to get some mysterious injuries, he too good to tank with.
          .
          i really like that gordon kid at the 4. he has a nice stroke and can jump out of the stadium!

  • Media Mike

    Here is my viewing guide:
    1PM:

    Watch Indy at KC and root for your own fantasy guys and against the guys on other teams.

    or

    Watch Dallas at Washington – self explanatory

    4PM:

    Send nasty email / tweet to Fox and the NFL and complain that none of the NFC 4 PM games are being aired.

    or

    Watch Green Bay @ Pittsburgh on CBS, cheer for Green Bay, email CBS and tell them that New England vs. Baltimore is a better game and anybody in the Philly area who is a Steelers fan is a giant female body part…………….and so is the person who decided on this game.

    8PM – appx. midnight:
    Watch Eagles defeat Bears!

  • nicksaenz1

    Loved the team stream updates I got this morning:

    Jones will fire Garrett if the Cowboys miss the playoffs.

    Vick open to returning as Foles’ backup. Two QBs have really good relationship

    Made my early X-mas morning even better.

    • Philip Soloninka

      Also, Romo and Garrett are not on the same page. AND Romo and Murray have an apparently ‘frosty’ relationship as well!

      Oh how I love December!

    • G_WallyHunter

      Hopefully some team doesn’t offer Vick too much money, would be great to have him back next year.
      If Dallas collapses today and Bears lose, do we see Garrett gone by week 17? Lol highly doubtful, but would be AWESOME

      • GEAGLE

        I wanted Vick back, but I think i now prefer to just put the nail in nthe coffin in the Dutch’s, #7 and all the clueless idiots, bum worshiping fans that accompany Vick…
        ..
        worshipping Vick lol would be like the NBA equivalent of worshipping Lavoy Allen lol

  • Gavin B

    Sheil – Here is something I have seen no one talking about. What if the following happens:

    - Giants beat Detroit
    - Pitt beats Green Bay
    - Washington beats Dallas

    In that situation, I believe that a tie between the eagles and bears would send both teams to the playoffs as division winners, since they would each be a game and a half over the other teams in their divisions with 1 game to go in week 17.

    Now while it would be ludicrous, is it possible that Chip Kelly and Trestman could have a tacit agreement to play for a tie, or even crazier sounding, kneel the ball for a 0-0 finish?? Positives: Both teams clinch division and make playoffs. Keep players healthy. Negatives: Backlash from the NFL and many other people.

    But in this dog eat dog league, a tie would be a win win in this scenario for both teams and getting to the playoffs is what it is all about.

    Thoughts on this situation if it were to present itself?

  • GEAGLE

    Night games suck