Everything You Know About Philly Real Estate Is Wrong

Posted on March 2008   Page 7 of 9
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For some owners, happy with their beach houses and fixed-rate mortgages, that’s fine. But for folks with reasons to sell — those with a lack of equity built up in the home, or who are mired in interest-only or sub-prime mortgages whose payments have skyrocketed — “Now’s the time,” Maher says.

“Right now, Cape May County is losing residents,” he adds. “The economy in that area isn’t as vibrant as it is in Philly or the rest of New Jersey. It lacks the industries those places have — education, services, health — and relies on construction and tourism.” And as the economists (and the builders, developers and lenders) keep saying, when the economy grows or slows, so does the housing market. 

Which leads to what may be the newest Shore thing: Atlantic City, of all places. Despite suffering remarkable job losses in 2007, A.C., predicts Maher, is going to make a big-time comeback. “Atlantic City has the gaming industry, obviously,” Maher says. “The upmarket casino development plans right now are impressive, and that’s generating new jobs, and I think more people will want to live close to where they work. A developed economy means more stable housing.”

If the theory holds true, with the expansions of Harrah’s, the Borgata and the Taj (and each new hotel room creates the need for 2.9 employees, Maher says), plus handfuls of ritzy new condo projects, A.C. looks to be one of the best bets on the beach.  

What it may mean to you: On the Shore, stay put, sell quick, or buy up … in A.C.!?!


PERCEPTION 8.
Center City is the new Big Apple.

The Philly reality: Okay, so we’re the ones who predicted last year that Center City would become a hot spot for the modern homeowner. But to a great extent, that has been the case.

“From a Main Line perspective, town has gotten really hot,” Smerconish says. “People who used to downsize on the Main Line are moving to Center City. Aging baby boomers want to be connected, to enjoy the arts, their favorite restaurants, all the things they had to drive in for, and now they’re just moving, buying something in one of the newly developing areas. And truth is, Philly has always been a good bargain.”  

Sweet affirms that demographic trends are showing more and more bodies in Center City — and the eagerness of condo developers to get in on the action (when most residential builders have been pulling way back) is further proof of the new(ish) appeal of urban living.

“The thing that gets us excited as developers is the street-front, and the incredible retail that Philly has been getting in recent years,” says Chris Martorella, the Philly-born CEO of New York’s Urban Residential — and the brains behind Center City’s high-profile Aria condo project, and also the new W. “That’s what’s creating the energy, getting people out. Even having grown up in Philly, I wouldn’t build there if I didn’t think these positive things were going to draw people inside and outside the city, or if I didn’t think it was going to keep getting better.”


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User Comments:

It's different here!
Posted by Anonymous | Mar. 2, 2008 at 8:08 AM
COMMENT:
And the disconnect and denial continues. The favorite realtor mantra "It's different here!" is even tried on a derelict city like Philly.
Thanks for the article PhillyMag!
Posted by Remax | Mar. 4, 2008 at 11:15 AM
COMMENT:
We'll be asking all of our nervous clients who have fallen prey to Mr. Lauer's bubble bursting charms to pick up a copy of the March Issue.
Finally, the truth and numbers are in writing!
Posted by Ryan | Mar. 5, 2008 at 8:27 PM
COMMENT:
I want to thank the Philadelphia Magazine for doing this article and letting the home owners of Philadelphia know what's going on in our specific market. These are the things that I've been saying for quite sometime. THANKS!
Reversal of Fortune?
Posted by Sandy | Mar. 6, 2008 at 5:23 AM
COMMENT:
Interesting but highly-expected tactic by Ms. Smerconish and her ilk. Now who, among the well-heeled, BMW-driving realtors, will explain to the Philly area populace just how logical it is to see the obscene increase in prices over the last 6 years? Game time over. Better start looking to lease a Volkswagon, Ms. S.
Well, Of Course....
Posted by Herb | Mar. 8, 2008 at 9:39 PM
COMMENT:
Let us not forget that Lavinia Smerconish (How Matt Lauer Is Wrecking the Philly Real Estate Market, March 2008) has a couple of very good reasons to "talk up the real estate market". For one, the more homes that sell the more she is likely to pocket. And, likewise, the more they sell for, the more she makes. Of course, she wants to paint as bullish a picture of the real estate landscape as she possibly can. Have you ever heard a Real Estate Agent paint a negative picture?
and....
Posted by ben | Mar. 9, 2008 at 9:05 AM
COMMENT:
recession is local too, right?
Reality at its best
Posted by Thea | Mar. 9, 2008 at 3:51 PM
COMMENT:
It is wonderful to finaly have the facts about the current real estate market published for the the public to see. Media is doing a good job with scaring people out of making a good investment in real estate. Thank you for writing this article. I hope it gets people to call their local Realtor for information about the market in their area. Realtors have the facts.
^^^Facts?^^^
Posted by Anonymous | Mar. 10, 2008 at 8:29 AM
COMMENT:
There was hardly anything factual about this article. "Realtors have the facts" - are you on crack? Realtors have the same incentive as any other salesperson does - making money and generating business. What a load of BS. On a side note to the editor, will you please rename this magazine Main Line Today, because really, it's the same thing.
Thea Stinnett is a Bucks Cty. Realtor
Posted by Anonymous | Mar. 10, 2008 at 8:45 AM
COMMENT:
Realtors obviously do know best when it comes to marketing themselves.
Real Estate Article Backs Right on to Gay Sex Parlors Article
Posted by Anonymous | Mar. 14, 2008 at 9:19 AM
COMMENT:
Got the March Issue because of the Philly Real Estate article - wanted to pull out the article and tables of home prices to discuss with others, just right up until I realized a photo of a half naked man with a provokative headline about gay sex parlors was on the back of the last page of tables. You couldn't have separated those articles by an advertisement? And since I live in one of the towns on that last page of tables, the part that pertains to me was unusable and could not be shared. Thanks for being so sensitive to that part of the population who isn't on the edge of their seats regarding sex parlor real estate. Most of us are only interested in the real estate that our sofa sits on!
transaction costs
Posted by Jamalogist | Mar. 16, 2008 at 12:09 PM
COMMENT:
Don't forget, prices here don't actually have to drop at all, for someone to lose when it comes time to sell. Thanks to the 2% buy / 2% sell transfer tax, you will lose 4% even if prices remain completely flat. Combined with 6% broker fee, 1% title insurance, that's 11% right there, even if you sell exactly for the same price. Still think it's a rosy picture?
Rosey Picture
Posted by Savannah | Apr. 28, 2008 at 9:00 AM
COMMENT:
Its 2% total transfer tax (1% to buyer, 1% seller), not 4%. Also, if you are smart, you won't pay 6% in commissions. Some realtors are dropping their commissions to 5% in order to compete with discount brokers like Assist.2.Sell who will sell for as low as 4% or 1.5%. Buyers are saving money now that mortgage rates are under 6%. And many companies also offer seller and buyer rebates, saving their clients $1,000s more! Its not a rosey picture, but it sure isn't the slippery slope that some people are portraying. And another note: not all realtors are money sucking fact distortors, expecially in this market. I care about my clients and my reputation. If all I cared about was money, I would switch to something like car sales.
Hi
Posted by NashG | Mar. 6, 2009 at 12:02 AM
COMMENT:
Thanks for the information.Real Estate Search
It Is 4% in the City of Philadelphia
Posted by DAX | Mar. 9, 2009 at 12:31 PM
COMMENT:
Savannah I think we are talking about Philadelphia Real Estate, so it is a 4% transfer of tax which is way too high. I think the insecurity of Philadelphia being located btwn New York & D.C. helped spike prices as well as the twisted sub-prime market. As a Realtor I hope prices do come down so that decent Realtors who genuinely want to help people don't continue to get a bad name.
 
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