Could Chris Christie Become President?

His brash, no-B.S. style has made Americans on both sides of the aisle fall for him. But can the Chris Christie Phenomenon take the Governor Next Door all the way to the White House in 2016?

This fall, long before Christie has to navigate the narrow-mindedness of his party’s nomination process or attempt to sell the nation on his straight talk, two intangibles will begin to play themselves out: the election of Lautenberg’s successor, and the implementation of Obamacare. Chances are that Cory Booker or some other Democrat will be elected to the Senate in the special election on October 16th, and should any legislative battle come down to a single vote, it will be a reminder to the GOP of Christie’s missed opportunity to appoint a Republican to fill the entire unexpired portion of Lautenberg’s term. That same month, the insurance exchanges under the Affordable Care Act will go online. This is where uninsured individuals, families and small businesses will go to shop for coverage and rates. In a best-case scenario, they’ll be the equivalent of for health insurance. More likely, the initiation of a mammoth new government program will bring hiccups at the onset, as Penn’s Zeke Emanuel recently forecast in the Wall Street Journal:

“Setting up the exchanges will pose a host of technological challenges, such as digitally linking an individual’s IRS information (which determines a subsidy level) to the insurance offerings in the individual’s home area and to employment data—while simultaneously factoring in Medicaid eligibility. Bugs in the computer software are bound to pop up, and the quality of the user experience will undoubtedly need improvement.”

Any such “bugs” that combine people’s access to health care and their finances could be the equivalent of the recent IRS 501(c)4 scandal on steroids, just in time for the Tea Party to reenergize its base in 2014. Americans may well come to love Obamacare the way they now support Medicare, but it’s doubtful that affinity will mature by 2014. Instead, Republicans will get an added bump in what should already be a strong year for the GOP. Since 1950, the party of a president in his second term has almost always lost the midterm elections. (The exception was 1998, under Bill Clinton.)

The impact on Christie? Against the backdrop of the implementation of Obama-care, we are probably headed for the third national election in a row where the economy and health care are the dominant issues. While there will be stories about previously uninsured individuals now obtaining coverage, and those with preexisting conditions now being protected, and young adults able to stay on their parents’ plans, they could be outweighed by Drudge Report anecdotes concerning the release of personal information into the wrong hands that will be hyped, Benghazi-style, by the right to drive the GOP base in 2014, à la 2010. A big win for the GOP in the midterms will then give conservative stalwarts a case of beer muscles just in time for the 2016 primary process. Their takeaway? Stay the conservative course with a true believer like Marco Rubio or Ted Cruz, not a Northeastern RINO like Chris Christie.

And that’s just what Hillary Clinton is counting on. 

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  • MN324

    I would vote for Christie in a heartbeat!!

    • pitbullstew

      wow one person in three months would vote for christie here in a heart beat? I guess every one else is stuck in traffic at the George Washington Bridge then huh?

  • pitbullstew

    BTW? The oft repeated mantra is that Chrisite won re election in a landslide. How it could be called a land slide when it turned it was announced as the lowest voter turn out in the history of New Jersey really is hutzpah
    Official numbers show record low voter turnout for Christie ……/official_numbers_show_nov_5_governor_election_had_ lowest_tu…
    Dec 3, 2013 … Not only did the results show Gov. Chris Christie winning, but they confirmed that the election had the lowest voter turnout of any New Jersey …

  • TKroll

    I am sure Mr. Christie is saddened and heartbroken that his minions got caught. But I am also sure that with Christie’s brand of Jersey politics, those who got caught will, in the future be rewarded for falling on their swords and for keeping “radio silence”.
    His LOYAL friends knew him, knew what would place them in his favor, also knew what would anger him…..they had hoped for a pat on the back and a “well done”, instead they got caught and like Mission Impossible, they were on their own and their actions disavowed by the one who put them there.

  • Pete Joachim

    Christie is a narcissist who holds grudges – that’s been his motis operandi his whole political career in NJ. Like he’s got this angry monkey on his shoulder always chirping at him and he can’t get rid of him. His #1 goal is himself. His goal in NJ is/was to get the state’s books in order so he could say – “look at me, I fixed the budget, I made the tough choices” – and that would project very well nationally, especially on the conservative side of both aisles. The problem is – his way is all about the end result, be damned any collateral damage or any long term planning (aka – the Lincoln tunnel project, kill teachers & public schools, infrastructure, no state insurance exchange). Sure he’ll accept $ from the feds (Sandy) (a federal healthcare exchange), cause he knows it’ll only help his state’s bottom line – and that means he looks good nationally. He could probably care less about all the social issues that keeps the GOP a few generations in the past. So he could / could’ve been the “guy”, if only he could get his ego under control. The cards are/have been set for him perfectly, but he is getting in his own way. He didn’t have to be the bully. But his true nature is killing his chances at the WH in 2016.